Doumbouya’s Abidjan state visit centers on mining and security cooperation...
His Excellency Mamadi Doumbouya concluded a two-day state visit to Côte d’Ivoire on 14 September 202...
Featured
ECOWAS Widens Its Border Mission to the Mano River Basin: What the Guinea-Liberia Escalation Adds to the Yenga Dispute
ASINT / Geopolitics & Risks The incidents and the ECOWAS response On March 12, 2026, the ECOWAS Commission issued a statement from its Abuja headquarters expressing serious concern over escalating tensions along the borders of Guinea with Liberia and Sierra Leone, and announcing the deployment of a technical assessment mission to the Mano River Basin. […]
NATO’s Ankara Summit Exposes the Transatlantic Rift Reshaping Europe’s Africa Posture
NATO’s heads of state met in Ankara on July 7 and 8 for the alliance’s 36th summit, its second hosted by Türkiye. The gathering opened with a defense industry forum where Secretary General Mark Rutte announced new transatlantic contracts worth, in his words, tens of billions of dollars. The goal was explicit: reassure Donald Trump […]
South Africa’s Anti-Migrant Protests Turn Social Tension Into Business Continuity Risk
South Africa’s anti-migrant protests on June 30 pushed several cities into partial shutdown. Workers stayed home, shops closed, buses were disrupted, and security forces were deployed as authorities tried to prevent marches from escalating into wider violence. The issue is not only political or social. It is also operational. When tensions around migration begin to […]

Ghana 0-0 England at the World Cup: What the Black Stars’ Defensive Resilience Against a Top-Ten Side Signals for African Football Capital
Ghana held England to a goalless draw in Group L at Boston Stadium on June 23. England finished with 78.8% possession, their highest ever in a World Cup match on record, and 19 attempts to Ghana’s two. Benjamin Asare kept a clean sheet. Kane missed the clearest chance of the game from six yards. Carlos […]
Niger’s Uranium Under Pressure: How Repeated Strikes on Niamey Airport Are Rewriting the Risk Premium for the AES Mineral Export Model
ASINT / Geopolitics and Risks The Asset and Its Location At the heart of Niger’s current dilemma sits approximately one thousand tonnes of uranium yellowcake immobilised at Niamey’s international airport. The junta nationalised the Somair mine — Orano’s principal uranium subsidiary, in which the French company held a 63.4% stake — in June 2025, at […]
The Hormuz MoU Is Transitional, Not Final: Oil at $92 Brent and the 60-Day Nuclear Negotiation Window
ASINT / Geopolitics and Risks The Islamabad MoU signed June 17 is a ceasefire framework, not a settlement. Both sides have emphasised that the memorandum is not a final settlement and that it will only become a deal at the end of the 60-day negotiation period. The distinction matters for energy markets and for the […]
Canyon Resources and Minim Martap: What Cameroon’s First Bauxite Exports Signal for Central Africa’s Critical Minerals Map
ASINT / Geopolitics & Risks Canyon Resources’ Minim Martap project in Cameroon’s Adamawa region is transitioning from development...
South Africa Mobilises Security Forces Ahead of June 30 Anti-Immigration Protests: What the State Response Reveals on Governance Capacity
South Africa’s deployment of security forces ahead of June 30 anti-immigration protests signals acute pressure on state governance...
Ethiopia’s Prosperity Party Wins 438 of 501 Seats: What a Supermajority in a Fractured State Signals for Regional Stability
Ethiopia’s Prosperity Party secured 438 of 501 parliamentary seats in the June 2025 elections, consolidating Abiy Ahmed’s political...
African Teams at the 2026 World Cup: DRC Holds Portugal, Ivory Coast Beats Ecuador, Cape Verde Stuns Spain — Reading the Rise of African Football Capital
African national teams are converting competitive World Cup performances into measurable soft power, media value, and sponsorship leverage....
JNIM Attacks Niamey Airport for the Second Time in Five Months: What a Suicide Strike on a Capital Infrastructure Asset Signals for the Sahel Security Arc
JNIM’s second suicide attack on Niamey’s Diori Hamani Airport within five months marks a strategic escalation targeting capital-level...

TMG's View
US Critical Minerals Diplomacy in the Sahel: Why the Security-for-Resources Model Hits a Wall After the USAID Dismantlement
Geopolitics & Risks The Sahel is emerging as a strategic node for critical minerals extraction. Mali is projected...
Ebola PHEIC and African Investment: How a Bundibugyo Outbreak Spreading to Uganda Tests Continental Health Infrastructure and DFI Priorities
ASINT / Geopolitics & Risks On May 16, 2026, the WHO Director-General declared the Ebola Bundibugyo virus disease...
Africa’s Multipolar Moment. How Strategic Autonomy Replaces Binary Cold War Alignments
ASINT / Geopolitics & Risks In September 2025, South Africa’s Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola published an articulation of...
Alliance of Sahel States Currency Breakaway. Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger Prepare Franc Replacement and What Monetary Sovereignty Means for Franc Zone Stability
ASINT / Geopolitics & Institutions On May 23, 2025, at a ministerial meeting in Bamako, the Alliance of...





























